Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001604 0.001705 0.001808 0.001923 0.002048 0.002178 0.002326
2025-02-23 0.001455 0.001596 0.001747 0.001923 0.002120 0.002337 0.002594
2025-03-02 0.001318 0.001480 0.001659 0.001872 0.002121 0.002404 0.002750
2025-03-09 0.001221 0.001396 0.001595 0.001838 0.002130 0.002470 0.002901
2025-03-16 0.001157 0.001345 0.001563 0.001835 0.002169 0.002568 0.003089
2025-03-23 0.001095 0.001291 0.001521 0.001815 0.002183 0.002633 0.003235
2025-03-30 0.001046 0.001249 0.001492 0.001806 0.002208 0.002710 0.003397
2025-04-06 0.000996 0.001202 0.001452 0.001781 0.002209 0.002754 0.003516
2025-04-13 0.000948 0.001155 0.001410 0.001751 0.002200 0.002784 0.003615
2025-04-20 0.000890 0.001094 0.001347 0.001689 0.002147 0.002750 0.003623
2025-04-27 0.000871 0.001080 0.001344 0.001706 0.002197 0.002856 0.003830
2025-05-04 0.000860 0.001077 0.001354 0.001739 0.002270 0.002996 0.004090
2025-05-11 0.000858 0.001088 0.001385 0.001805 0.002398 0.003226 0.004508
2025-05-18 0.000829 0.001061 0.001366 0.001802 0.002429 0.003320 0.004732
2025-05-25 0.000786 0.001014 0.001316 0.001755 0.002394 0.003316 0.004807
2025-06-01 0.000751 0.000977 0.001280 0.001724 0.002379 0.003340 0.004924
2025-06-08 0.000729 0.000956 0.001263 0.001721 0.002405 0.003426 0.005145
2025-06-15 0.000703 0.000929 0.001238 0.001702 0.002406 0.003474 0.005304
2025-06-22 0.000682 0.000908 0.001220 0.001694 0.002422 0.003545 0.005507
2025-06-29 0.000658 0.000882 0.001193 0.001671 0.002414 0.003576 0.005642
2025-07-06 0.000634 0.000854 0.001163 0.001643 0.002397 0.003591 0.005749
2025-07-13 0.000602 0.000815 0.001116 0.001586 0.002331 0.003522 0.005704
2025-07-20 0.000593 0.000809 0.001116 0.001601 0.002381 0.003649 0.006017